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ISSN 1997 - 4868 (Print); ISSN 2307-0005 (Online)

 

Testing the methodology for analyzing the impact of wages on the reproduction of cadres in rural areas by the example of urban districts of the Sverdlovsk region

Authors: V. M. Sharapova, I. A. Borisov, N. V. Sharapova

Ural State Agrarian University, Ekaterinburg, Russia

Ural State Economic University, Ekaterinburg, Russia E-mail: Этот адрес электронной почты защищён от спам-ботов. У вас должен быть включен JavaScript для просмотра.

Abstract. The purpose of this article is to develop and test a methodology for assessing the impact of wages on the reproduction of personnel in rural areas. Urban districts of the Sverdlovsk region were selected as the object for the pilot project. As a research method, the authors used multiple regression analysis of spatial data using the least squares method. As the data sources for the sample, data from the database of the municipalities of Rosstat were used. As a result of the behavioral research, key factors were identified that affect various indicators of the reproduction of the labor resources of the territory, the statistical significance of the influencing factors is evaluated, and the explanatory ability of the obtained models of their possibilities of their use for forecasting is evaluated. It was found that indicators of wages have a significant impact on most indicators of the reproduction of labor resources, indicators of the state of public health in the territory also have a significant impact. Based on the results of the study, recommendations are given for further refinement of the methodology, as well as recommendations for improving the system of statistical reporting of municipalities. The scientific novelty of the study is the use of regression analysis as a method for assessing the reproductive processes of rural territories using data from urban districts of the Sverdlovsk region. The practical significance of the results obtained is a quantitative assessment of the dependence of the reproduction parameters on the factors under study, which makes it possible to quantify the economic effect of the predicted measures. Also, the practical significance of the article lies in identifying the advantages and disadvantages of the proposed methodology that emerged during the pilot study, and the corresponding directions for its improvement.

Keywords: reproduction of labor resources, rural territories, movement of labor resources of the territory, labor market, human capital.

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For citation: Sharapova V. M., Borisov I. A., Sharapova N. V. Testing the methodology for analyzing the impact of wages on the reproduction of cadres in rural areas by the example of urban districts of the Sverdlovsk region // Agrarian Bulletin of the Urals. 2020. No. 03 (194). Pp. 91‒100. DOI: 10.32417/1997-4868-2020-194-3-91-100

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