Authors: E. V. Stovba, M. Т. Lukyanova, V. А. Kovshov
Bashkir State University (Birsk Branch), Birsk, Russia
Bashkir State Agrarian University, Ufa, Russia E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Abstract. The article actualizes the need of foresight technologies in the sustainable development of strategic plans of sustainable development in rural municipalities at the level of the Russian Federation. It is pointed out that the modern methodology of foresight studies is quite flexible and multifaceted, has wide application at different hierarchical levels of management. The purpose of the study is to prove the need to use the foresight methodologies for rural development strategic planning and forecasting tool. In the course of the study, the following methods were used: strategic planning and forecasting, foresight technologies (expert survey and expert opinions), comparative analysis. The scientific novelty of the study is determined by the formation of a set of practical recommendations on the use of foresight tools at the municipal level of management in rural areas. The systematic approach usage in combination with foresight technologies allows to develop strategic plans for the development in rural areas from the perspective of long-term improvement of their economic and social component. A brief analysis of the current state and development of foresight research in the Russian Federation is presented. It is concluded that in modern conditions of rural development it is necessary to develop strategic programs and anti-crisis measures that should focus on the application of the foresight technologies. It shows that the characteristic features of the rural municipal foresight are, on the one hand, the obligatory interconnection of strategic priorities for rural areas development in the long term and, on the other hand, the need to achieve the interest of key factors in regional development. Results of a research: the algorithm of strategic planning of sustainable development of rural areas of the region based on foresight technologies and the mechanism for its implementation at the municipal level are considered; strategic goals and priority areas for sustainable development of rural areas of the Republic of Bashkortostan in the sub-regional context were defined. On the basis of the foresight analysis, a three-level branding of agri-food products manufactured in the region was carried out, and brands within the considered rural municipalities were identified. It is concluded that foresight technologies should be used as the system tool for the formation
and implementation of sustainable development strategy in rural areas of the Republic of Bashkortostan.
Keywords: foresight, foresight technologies, strategic planning, sustainable development, rural areas, branding.
For citation: Stovba E. V., Lukyanova M. Т., Kovshov V. А. Forsayt kak instrument strategicheskogo planirovaniya i prognozirovaniya ustoychivogo razvitiya sel’skikh territoriy [Foresight as a strategic planning and forecasting tool of sustainable development of rural areas] // Agrarian Bulletin of the Urals. 2019. No. 11 (190). Pp. 92‒100. DOI: 10.32417/article_5dcd861
eb7f0a4.35513022. (In Russian.)
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