Agrarian Bulletin of the Urals

The journal has been published since 2000

ISSN 1997 - 4868 (Print); ISSN 2307-0005 (Online)

 

Threats in the social sphere: their monitoring and possibilities of anticipation

Authors:

V. E. BESHLYK, aspirant,

A. G. SVETLAKOV, doctor of economic sciences, professor,

Perm State Agrarian University named after D. N. Pryanishnikov (23 Petropavlovskaya Str., 614990, Perm)

Abstract. The last period is significant in many events and the phenomena. But one devil of the world community becomes more and more widespread and obvious: the terrorist activity which can actually be the real lever in the international economic relations and has the negative tendencies. Therefore in new conditions of one of urgent tasks of many countries of the world there was a support of a national and economic safety, creating social stability in the state. The modern events develop in such a way that any country will not be able to revive the statehood and to recover the place appropriate to it in the world community without solution of problems of the economic and food security. Based on a research of correlation of the factors promoting growth of terrorist danger authoring approach of determination of explanatory variables which characterize terrorist and extremist activity is for the first time offered. The prevailing value of group of socio-economic factors as key and the most tightly connected to escalation of terrorist activity is reasoned. The task of search of the characteristic of terrorist danger on the basis of complex assessment of socio-economic factors is formulated. The comparative characteristic of the countries in the ratio of terrorism level with the standard of living of the population is defined, cause and effect relationship between economic and social situation, quality of life, level of Islamization and the number of crimes of terrorist character is selected. The attention to the social phenomena bearing in themselves the strong charge of potential of explosion is focused, provoking political and economic instability, thereby creating social tension of regions of Russia. The comparative characteristic of regions of the Russian Federation in the ratio of crimes of terrorist character, economic and social situation and quality of life of the population is this.

Keywords: economic security, terrorist threat, socioeconomic factors, indicative criteria, threshold values, criteria of a terrorist threat, a comprehensive assessment of the terrorist threat, methodological tools.

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