Authors:
E. B. Dvoryadkina,
G. M. Kvon,
O. G. Pozdeeva
Ural State University of Economics, Ekaterinburg, Russia
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Abstract. The problem of the Russian regions’ resistance to external challenges and shocks in the context of ongoing transformational changes is quite acute when it comes to ensuring the country’s national security, where the resilience (shock resistance) of the country’s agro-industrial complex in the context of ensuring its food security is no less urgent due to its high strategic importance and priority. The purpose of the study is to substantiate, on the basis of a group of indicators, the resilience index of the agricultural sector of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation that are part of the Ural macroregion. Methods. The main method used in the work is economic and analytical, including methods of comparison, ranking, as well as methods of tabular and graphical visualization tools, analysis of dynamic series, which ultimately made it possible to substantiate the resilience indices of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation using the static method of Z-scores (Z-scores). The scientific novelty of the work consists in the development of a system of indicators that made it possible to assess and substantiate the degree of resilience based on dynamic series, reflecting the specifics of the agricultural sector of the studied regions. Results. The paper assesses the actual trends of the main indicators proposed by the authors, which allowed to substantiate shock resistance in the agricultural sector of the regions based on their dynamics and calculation of the resilience index. The results of calculating the resilience index indicate varying degrees of shock resistance of the subjects of the Russian Federation that are part of the Ural macroregion, which made it possible to rank them and identify the subjects of the Russian Federation that are most resistant to internal and external influences. The practical significance of the studies is the use of the assessment results for making timely adjustments both to strategic planning documents and to the planned measures for the development of the agricultural sector of the regions.
Keywords: Ural macroregion, subject of the Russian Federation, food security, agriculture, sustainability, resilience (shock resistance), integral index of resilience (shock resistance)
For citation: Dvoryadkina E. B., Kvon G. M., Pozdeeva O. G. Assessment of the resilience of the agricultural sector of the Ural macroregion. Agrarian Bulletin of the Urals. 2024; 24 (11): 1514‒1525. DOI: https://doi. org/10.32417/1997-4868-2024-24-11-1514-1525. (In Russ.)
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